One thing is certain, and that is we are living in increasingly uncertain times.

This uncertainty relates to forces outside of our control, stemming from societal or political change, technological advancement, environmental / climate change and economic changes.

For planners and infrastructure owners alike, managing this uncertainty is a constant source of challenge.

Traditional approaches to managing risk are less useful in situations where deep uncertainty exists, and scenario planning provides one tool that can help us think about and plan for uncertain futures. While not a new approach, scenario planning has re-emerged in recent times as a tool for building responses to climate change, as part of mandatory climate-related disclosures. However, it can also be used for infrastructure investment decision-making, as covered in recent guidance developed by Infrastructure Australia.

This paper reviews the history of scenario planning in different contexts, and explores how we might adopt this tool more usefully within the infrastructure sector, for projects, planning and investment.

James Hughes

Tonkin & Taylor

James has a 20 year career in the infrastructure and environmental sectors. His work infrastructure planning, natural hazard assessments, as well as climate change adaptation, mitigation and broader sustainability. He leads T+T’s climate and resilience practice and has been involved in a wide range of nationally significant projects over recent years.
Concurrent Session C

Rangatiratanga | Toru

Thursday 23 May